guaranteed to relieve stress
Tensions have been heightened as the Federal Reserve and the Treasury wrap up their bank stress tests. Today, executives of the 19 institutions evaluated will be confidentially told how their banks fared, and presumably what kind of capital they will need to raise to cover at least some of their inevitable writedowns. The results are currently scheduled to be made public on May 4th, but the Obama economic team has badly bungled the public relations aspect of the whole stress testing episode, so they may leak before then.
The feds did release a skinny, vague summary of the criteria being used by regulators. According to the New York Times :
“Federal regulators released the criteria they used to assess the financial health of the nation’s 19 biggest banks on Friday, but provided little new information for investors to distinguish the industry’s weak players from the strong.
In a 21-page report, the Federal Reserve regulators broadly laid out the tools they used to project bank losses if the economy worsens, and officials established an unspecified baseline to measure how much additional capital the banks should add as a buffer against higher losses. But they provided no concrete metrics to assess the depths of the troubles facing the industry or specific banks.
Still, the Federal Reserve report suggested that regulators are focusing on the amount of capital that they want banks to hold in common stock, which makes it easier for them to absorb future losses as the recession wears on. That could force at least a handful of the 19 banks to raise significant amounts of new capital and could lead to greater government ownership stakes in the banks.”
An article by Reuters also emphasizes that the government seems focused on capital reserve levels :
“The top 19 U.S. banks need to hold a ‘substantial’ amount of capital above regulatory requirements to weather a potential worsening of the economic recession, the U.S. Federal Reserve said on Friday.
Supervisors said ‘stress tests’ regulators conducted at major banks were aimed at ensuring the institutions have enough capital in reserve to continue to lend in potentially bleaker conditions, and are not to be considered a measure of banks’ current solvency.”
As if to confirm what skeptics have been saying for weeks about the charade of the stress tests, the Fed also let it be known that none of the big banks would fail the tests anyway. The Associated Press is reporting :
“The Federal Reserve says the government is prepared to rescue any of the banks that underwent ‘stress tests’ and were deemed vulnerable if the recession worsened sharply.
The Fed says the 19 companies that hold one-half of the loans in the U.S. banking system won’t be allowed to fail — even if they fared poorly on the stress tests.”
New York Times : Regulators Disclose Criteria for Bank ‘Stress Tests’
Reuters : Fed looking for substantial capital buffers
Associated Press : Fed says gov’t ready to save stress-tested banks
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